Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF +320 UCI -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -8.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -6.8 (-3.2) | 141.9 (+10.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -6.3 (-3.7) | 139.8 (+12.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -6.8 (-3.2) | 140.6 (+11.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -7.2 (-2.8) | 142.2 (+9.8) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | UCI 75 – 67 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-0 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#236) | 8.1 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#221) | 1.29 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#231) | 1.57 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#214) | 0.577 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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