Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -700 CSUF +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -18.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -13.1 (-5.1) | 137.1 (+4.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -14.0 (-6.0) | 135.0 (+7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -15.7 (-7.7) | 136.3 (+5.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -15.9 (-7.9) | 136.6 (+5.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#56) | -4.8 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#81) | 0.51 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#86) | 0.09 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#69) | 0.541 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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