Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +135 APP -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +19 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | APP -6.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -4.8 (-14.2) | 132.5 (-27.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -6.1 (-12.9) | 133.5 (-28.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -5.3 (-13.7) | 132.1 (-27.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APP -5.4 (-13.6) | 133.9 (-28.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ODU 75 – 73 APP |
| Dec 31, 2025 | APP 81 – 73 ODU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ODU 61 – 56 APP |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ODU 78 – 77 APP |
| Feb 28, 2024 | APP 89 – 64 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#321) | 0.2 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#261) | -0.17 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#245) | -0.28 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#253) | 0.509 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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