Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 171.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -340 ORU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +10 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -10.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 180.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -9.7 (+0.3) | 163.9 (+10.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -8.5 (+1.5) | 163.8 (+10.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -8.8 (+1.2) | 164.8 (+9.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -9.1 (+0.9) | 162.6 (+11.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SDAK 77 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 3-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.6 | 82.0 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#226) | -10.8 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#238) | -2.05 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#255) | -2.52 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#261) | 0.396 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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