Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -225 SDAK +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -4.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -6.0 (+9.0) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -2.9 (+12.1) | 149.2 (-10.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -2.0 (+13.0) | 149.9 (-10.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -2.1 (+12.9) | 149.8 (-10.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SDAK 77 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 81.5 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#271) | -9.7 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#297) | -1.51 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#295) | -1.90 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#298) | 0.413 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 11.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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