Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -170 ORU +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -5.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -5.1 (+2.9) | 151.9 (-5.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -4.7 (+3.3) | 152.1 (-6.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -5.7 (+2.3) | 152.8 (-6.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -5.9 (+2.1) | 153.2 (-7.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SDAK 77 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.7 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#286) | -10.2 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#253) | -2.23 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#249) | -2.74 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#311) | 0.411 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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