Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 171.5 Under |
| Money | ORU +105 SDAK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +1 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -2.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 178.2 (-29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.1 (+0.1) | 162.1 (-13.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -0.3 (-0.7) | 161.4 (-12.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -1.4 (+0.4) | 161.7 (-12.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -1.7 (+0.7) | 162.3 (-13.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SDAK 77 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 86.6 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#319) | -4.9 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#336) | -0.56 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#329) | -1.04 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#342) | 0.468 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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