Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK +105 ORU -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -1.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -1.7 (+2.7) | 156.4 (-3.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -4.0 (+5.0) | 154.3 (-1.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.8 (+2.8) | 151.5 (+1.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -1.0 (+2.0) | 154.6 (-1.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.5 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#319) | -4.8 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#319) | -1.03 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#321) | -1.26 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#336) | 0.446 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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