Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -120 SDAK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -0.6 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.4 (+6.4) | 152.3 (-23.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -1.8 (+6.8) | 152.1 (-23.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -0.5 (+5.5) | 149.7 (-20.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -0.7 (+5.7) | 151.5 (-22.5) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SDAK 77 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 81.7 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#327) | -7.8 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#347) | -0.97 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#341) | -1.22 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#354) | 0.435 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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