Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TNST -110 SIUE -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -0.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -0.0 (-7.0) | 140.0 (+27.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.2 (-6.8) | 138.9 (+28.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.3 (-6.7) | 136.0 (+31.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.4 (-6.6) | 137.3 (+29.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNST 80 – 53 SIUE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 66 TNST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SIUE 71 – 69 TNST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SIUE 84 – 72 TNST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNST 76 – 71 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#301) | -4.1 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#332) | -0.61 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#316) | -1.08 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#344) | 0.468 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.