Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -195 TNST +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -4.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -4.6 (+7.4) | 144.1 (+11.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -3.9 (+8.1) | 144.8 (+11.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -4.3 (+7.7) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -4.5 (+7.5) | 143.0 (+13.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNST 80 – 53 SIUE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 66 TNST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SIUE 71 – 69 TNST |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SIUE 87 – 80 TNST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNST 76 – 71 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#227) | -5.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#228) | -1.27 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#243) | -1.75 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#216) | 0.451 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.