Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -150 TNST +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -1.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -1.4 (+0.6) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.9 (+1.1) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.9 (+1.1) | 141.0 (-1.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -1.1 (+0.9) | 140.8 (-0.8) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNST 80 – 53 SIUE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 66 TNST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SIUE 84 – 72 TNST |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SIUE 87 – 80 TNST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNST 76 – 71 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#231) | -5.1 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#225) | -1.05 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#245) | -1.45 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#214) | 0.478 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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