Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -195 MRMK +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -2.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -2.1 (+2.9) | 136.7 (+20.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -2.1 (+2.9) | 130.4 (+26.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -1.5 (+3.5) | 130.9 (+26.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.9 (+3.1) | 131.9 (+25.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MRMK 56 – 49 QUIN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MRMK 83 – 71 QUIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MRMK 73 – 63 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#218) | -2.1 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#185) | 0.09 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#193) | -0.04 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#147) | 0.521 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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