Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -105 QUIN -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -2.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.7 (+13.7) | 135.7 (+18.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -2.0 (+14.0) | 133.6 (+20.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -1.7 (+13.7) | 134.3 (+19.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.6 (+13.6) | 135.2 (+18.8) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MRMK 56 – 49 QUIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MRMK 73 – 63 QUIN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | QUIN 81 – 76 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#256) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#177) | 0.51 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#195) | 0.80 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#182) | 0.530 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 27.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 57.1% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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