Betting Lines
| Spread | ND -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SYR +170 ND -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | ND -2.6 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -1.6 (+9.6) | 148.7 (-2.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ND -0.8 (+8.8) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -1.2 (+9.2) | 147.4 (-1.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ND -2.0 (+10.0) | 147.1 (-1.1) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SYR 86 – 72 ND |
| Dec 7, 2024 | ND 69 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SYR 88 – 85 ND |
| Jan 15, 2023 | SYR 78 – 73 ND |
| Dec 3, 2022 | SYR 62 – 61 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#153) | 7.2 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#153) | 0.14 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#138) | 0.69 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#137) | 0.508 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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