Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -333 ND +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +3 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -7.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+41.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -6.2 (-3.2) | 137.3 (+35.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -6.6 (-3.6) | 135.0 (+38.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -6.5 (-3.5) | 134.8 (+38.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -6.8 (-3.8) | 136.6 (+36.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SYR 86 – 72 ND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SYR 77 – 69 ND |
| Dec 7, 2024 | ND 69 – 64 SYR |
| Jan 15, 2023 | SYR 78 – 73 ND |
| Dec 3, 2022 | SYR 62 – 61 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#94) | 1.9 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#50) | 0.08 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#53) | 0.20 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#35) | 0.484 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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