Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -7.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -5.6 (-0.6) | 140.3 (+10.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -6.1 (-1.1) | 140.5 (+10.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -5.5 (-0.5) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -6.1 (-1.1) | 140.0 (+11.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SYR 86 – 72 ND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SYR 77 – 69 ND |
| Dec 7, 2024 | ND 69 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SYR 88 – 85 ND |
| Dec 3, 2022 | SYR 62 – 61 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#105) | 0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#110) | 0.22 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#101) | 0.56 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#116) | 0.509 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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