Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -278 ND +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -3.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -2.3 (+11.7) | 141.2 (+16.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.7 (+11.3) | 142.1 (+15.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -2.9 (+11.1) | 143.7 (+14.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -3.2 (+10.8) | 145.1 (+12.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | SYR 77 – 69 ND |
| Dec 7, 2024 | ND 69 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SYR 88 – 85 ND |
| Jan 15, 2023 | SYR 78 – 73 ND |
| Dec 3, 2022 | SYR 62 – 61 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#74) | 7.5 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#92) | 1.33 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#84) | 1.86 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#122) | 0.553 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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