Betting Lines
| Spread | ND -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ND -300 SYR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | ND -10.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -5.6 (-6.6) | 136.7 (-13.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ND -7.0 (-8.0) | 136.0 (-13.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -5.0 (-6.0) | 137.8 (-14.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ND -5.9 (-6.9) | 137.1 (-14.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SYR 86 – 72 ND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SYR 77 – 69 ND |
| Dec 7, 2024 | ND 69 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SYR 88 – 85 ND |
| Jan 15, 2023 | SYR 78 – 73 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-8 | 11-7 |
| Away | 0-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#114) | -0.5 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#71) | -0.94 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#102) | -1.03 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#36) | 0.485 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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