Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -290 EMU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -7.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -4.9 (-10.9) | 149.7 (-19.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -3.9 (-9.9) | 148.3 (-18.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.8 (-9.8) | 150.4 (-20.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.0 (-10.0) | 150.8 (-20.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BGSU 85 – 79 EMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BGSU 65 – 60 EMU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EMU 69 – 60 BGSU |
| Jan 3, 2024 | BGSU 92 – 90 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#271) | -10.3 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#305) | -0.74 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#313) | -1.38 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#322) | 0.449 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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