Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | EMU -190 BGSU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -3.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -3.3 (-8.3) | 150.2 (-25.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -1.6 (-6.6) | 146.0 (-21.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -3.2 (-8.2) | 147.9 (-22.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -3.2 (-8.2) | 149.9 (-24.9) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BGSU 85 – 79 EMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EMU 68 – 62 BGSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EMU 69 – 60 BGSU |
| Jan 3, 2024 | BGSU 92 – 90 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#298) | -8.1 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#216) | -1.48 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#243) | -2.20 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#220) | 0.419 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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