Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -700 EMU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -10.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -8.5 (-2.5) | 136.3 (+27.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -7.7 (-1.7) | 135.5 (+28.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -8.3 (-2.3) | 135.3 (+28.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -8.1 (-2.1) | 138.8 (+25.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BGSU 65 – 60 EMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EMU 68 – 62 BGSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EMU 69 – 60 BGSU |
| Jan 3, 2024 | BGSU 92 – 90 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#107) | -1.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#120) | -0.25 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#125) | -0.25 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#122) | 0.476 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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