Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -600 EMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +2 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -13.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+47.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -8.7 (-6.7) | 140.0 (+42.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -9.0 (-7.0) | 141.0 (+41.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -10.0 (-8.0) | 136.6 (+45.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -9.0 (-7.0) | 138.8 (+43.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BGSU 85 – 79 EMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BGSU 65 – 60 EMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EMU 68 – 62 BGSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EMU 69 – 60 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#185) | -9.6 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#148) | -0.57 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#171) | -0.67 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#244) | 0.448 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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