Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | EMU +210 BGSU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -5.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -5.5 (+14.5) | 146.4 (-17.4) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.4 (+13.4) | 145.4 (-16.4) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.9 (+13.9) | 146.8 (-17.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.7 (+13.7) | 147.0 (-18.0) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BGSU 85 – 79 EMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BGSU 65 – 60 EMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EMU 68 – 62 BGSU |
| Jan 3, 2024 | BGSU 92 – 90 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#337) | -3.5 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#312) | 0.02 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#318) | -0.12 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#328) | 0.486 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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