Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LAF +105 COLG -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +23 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -2.2 (-25.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -0.1 (-23.1) | 131.9 (+25.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -0.6 (-22.4) | 134.0 (+23.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -0.2 (-23.2) | 132.5 (+24.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -0.5 (-23.5) | 133.0 (+24.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LAF 70 – 69 COLG |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COLG 85 – 77 LAF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAF 76 – 61 COLG |
| Feb 19, 2024 | COLG 67 – 62 LAF |
| Jan 11, 2024 | LAF 69 – 64 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#261) | -4.1 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#299) | -1.04 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#277) | -1.24 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#307) | 0.444 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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