Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | COLG -1100 LAF +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -16.1 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -9.8 (-14.8) | 129.6 (+3.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -12.3 (-17.3) | 131.1 (+1.9) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -9.7 (-14.7) | 130.0 (+3.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -11.0 (-16.0) | 128.9 (+4.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LAF 70 – 69 COLG |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COLG 85 – 77 LAF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAF 76 – 61 COLG |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COLG 90 – 67 LAF |
| Feb 19, 2024 | COLG 67 – 62 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 10-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#139) | -10.2 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#130) | -1.97 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#151) | -2.39 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#123) | 0.411 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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