Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LAF +240 COLG -298 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -6.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -5.8 (-2.2) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -5.1 (-2.9) | 147.6 (+14.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -5.5 (-2.5) | 146.6 (+15.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -5.8 (-2.2) | 147.2 (+14.8) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LAF 70 – 69 COLG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAF 76 – 61 COLG |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COLG 90 – 67 LAF |
| Feb 19, 2024 | COLG 67 – 62 LAF |
| Jan 11, 2024 | LAF 69 – 64 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#325) | -0.9 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.10 (#348) | -0.72 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.03 (#346) | -0.99 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.341 (#360) | 0.505 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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