Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -300 NOLA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -5.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -1.6 (-10.6) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -2.9 (-11.9) | 141.3 (+13.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -2.5 (-11.5) | 141.3 (+13.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -2.0 (-11.0) | 140.8 (+14.2) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NOLA 94 – 85 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NOLA 83 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 25, 2025 | ETAM 73 – 71 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ETAM 89 – 83 NOLA |
| Jan 8, 2024 | NOLA 88 – 85 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 2-18 |
| Home | 4-10 | 0-11 |
| Away | 1-16 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 82.5 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#333) | -12.4 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#328) | -1.45 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#338) | -1.96 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#332) | 0.457 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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