I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Southland Conference · The Field House · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ETAM -6.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money ETAM -300 / UNO +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total ETAM win
Actual UNO +9 155 Lost
Massey ETAM -5.1 (-14.1)
Massey Totals 144.4 (+10.6)
Bradley-Terry 52%
Weighted B-T 46%
Efficiency Plus ML ETAM -2.9 (-11.9) 141.3 (+13.7) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML ETAM -2.5 (-11.5) 141.3 (+13.7) 62%
Baseline ML ETAM -2.0 (-11.0) 140.8 (+14.2) 57%
Baseline Plus ML ETAM -1.6 (-10.6) 141.5 (+13.5) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2026 UNO 9485 ETAM
Jan 6, 2026 UNO 8373 ETAM
Feb 25, 2025 ETAM 7371 UNO
Feb 10, 2024 ETAM 8983 UNO
Jan 8, 2024 UNO 8885 ETAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ETAM UNO
Overall 5-26 4-27
Conference 3-17 2-18
Home 4-10 0-11
Away 1-16 3-15
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak W1 L13
Avg Pts For 64.4 67.9
Avg Pts Against 74.9 82.5
Massey -11.0 (#333) -12.4 (#344)
Bradley-Terry -2.05 (#328) -1.45 (#302)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.90 (#338) -1.96 (#305)
RPI 0.402 (#332) 0.457 (#251)
Shooting & Four Factors ETAM UNO
FG% 41.1% 39.0%
3PT% 28.9% 29.8%
REB / G 31.2 35.5
OREB / G 10.5 12.2
AST / TO 0.76 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 44.0%
TOV% 23.8% 18.4%
ORB% 29.5% 30.6%
FT Rate 17.6% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.5% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 15.9%
DRB% 66.8% 62.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.1% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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