Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA -165 ETAM +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +3 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -1.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -0.3 (+2.7) | 145.4 (+27.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -0.3 (+2.7) | 146.0 (+27.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -0.4 (+2.6) | 142.4 (+30.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -0.2 (+3.2) | 142.6 (+30.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NOLA 94 – 85 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NOLA 83 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 25, 2025 | ETAM 73 – 71 NOLA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NOLA 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ETAM 89 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#326) | -8.2 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#336) | -0.14 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#327) | -0.65 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#316) | 0.516 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.