You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Southland Conference · Lakefront Arena · January 8, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UNO -3.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money UNO -165 / ETAM +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNO win
Actual UNO +3 173 Won
Massey UNO -1.5 (+1.5)
Massey Totals 142.5 (+30.5)
Bradley-Terry 22%
Weighted B-T 28%
Efficiency Plus ML UNO -0.3 (+2.7) 146.0 (+27.0) 56%
Baseline Tuned ML UNO -0.4 (+2.6) 142.4 (+30.6) 52%
Baseline ML ETAM -0.2 (+3.2) 142.6 (+30.4) 58%
Baseline Plus ML UNO -0.3 (+2.7) 145.4 (+27.6) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2026 UNO 9485 ETAM
Jan 6, 2026 UNO 8373 ETAM
Feb 25, 2025 ETAM 7371 UNO
Jan 18, 2025 UNO 8273 ETAM
Feb 10, 2024 ETAM 8983 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNO ETAM
Overall 10-23 13-20
Conference 4-14 6-12
Home 7-6 8-7
Away 2-15 4-12
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.7 67.3
Avg Pts Against 81.6 76.6
Massey -10.8 (#326) -8.2 (#305)
Bradley-Terry -2.20 (#336) -0.14 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.48 (#327) -0.65 (#227)
RPI 0.413 (#316) 0.516 (#148)
Shooting & Four Factors UNO ETAM
FG% 39.1% 38.3%
3PT% 28.7% 27.0%
REB / G 32.1 30.0
OREB / G 9.6 8.4
AST / TO 0.66 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.1% 44.9%
TOV% 18.8% 19.0%
ORB% 24.6% 22.2%
FT Rate 25.2% 17.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.6% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 17.7%
DRB% 65.0% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.5% 28.5%

Game Analysis

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