And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Southland Conference · Lakefront Arena · January 6, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UNO -6.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money UNO -310 / ETAM +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNO win
Actual UNO +10 156 Won
Massey UNO -10.4 (-0.4)
Massey Totals 155.7 (+0.3)
Bradley-Terry 74%
Weighted B-T 82%
Efficiency Plus ML UNO -7.2 (+2.8) 147.3 (+8.7) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML UNO -7.8 (+2.2) 147.5 (+8.5) 80%
Baseline ML UNO -7.9 (+2.1) 147.7 (+8.3) 80%
Baseline Plus ML UNO -8.2 (+1.8) 148.4 (+7.6) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2026 UNO 9485 ETAM
Feb 25, 2025 ETAM 7371 UNO
Jan 18, 2025 UNO 8273 ETAM
Feb 10, 2024 ETAM 8983 UNO
Jan 8, 2024 UNO 8885 ETAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNO ETAM
Overall 15-18 11-21
Conference 12-10 6-16
Home 5-6 6-8
Away 9-11 4-13
Neutral 1-1 1-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 74.5 67.1
Avg Pts Against 77.7 76.0
Massey -3.1 (#214) -9.6 (#306)
Bradley-Terry -0.66 (#229) -1.04 (#262)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.82 (#221) -1.66 (#267)
RPI 0.484 (#204) 0.477 (#214)
Shooting & Four Factors UNO ETAM
FG% 42.9% 41.0%
3PT% 33.2% 31.1%
REB / G 35.9 31.7
OREB / G 11.6 8.7
AST / TO 0.86 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 48.3%
TOV% 20.9% 22.1%
ORB% 32.9% 24.4%
FT Rate 28.0% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 17.9%
DRB% 64.2% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 30.2% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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