Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA -310 ETAM +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -10.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -8.2 (+1.8) | 148.4 (+7.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -7.2 (+2.8) | 147.3 (+8.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -7.8 (+2.2) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -7.9 (+2.1) | 147.7 (+8.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NOLA 94 – 85 ETAM |
| Feb 25, 2025 | ETAM 73 – 71 NOLA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NOLA 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ETAM 89 – 83 NOLA |
| Jan 8, 2024 | NOLA 88 – 85 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 6-16 |
| Home | 5-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#214) | -9.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#229) | -1.04 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#221) | -1.66 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#204) | 0.477 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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