Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +105 NOLA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +9 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -2.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -2.6 (-6.4) | 145.2 (+33.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -1.6 (-7.4) | 145.8 (+33.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -2.2 (-6.8) | 144.1 (+34.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -2.7 (-6.3) | 144.9 (+34.1) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | NOLA 83 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 25, 2025 | ETAM 73 – 71 NOLA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NOLA 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ETAM 89 – 83 NOLA |
| Jan 8, 2024 | NOLA 88 – 85 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 12-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#294) | -2.7 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#284) | -0.50 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#281) | -0.58 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#247) | 0.488 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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