Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -150 NOLA +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +6 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -5.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -3.6 (+2.4) | 144.5 (+27.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -4.1 (+1.9) | 145.3 (+26.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -3.8 (+2.2) | 143.8 (+28.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -4.5 (+1.5) | 143.3 (+28.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NOLA 94 – 85 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NOLA 83 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 25, 2025 | ETAM 73 – 71 NOLA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NOLA 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Jan 8, 2024 | NOLA 88 – 85 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#327) | -13.2 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#325) | -2.34 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#325) | -3.03 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#311) | 0.392 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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