I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Southland Conference · Lakefront Arena · February 25, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ETAM -1.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money UNO +100 / ETAM -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNO win
Actual ETAM +2 144 Lost
Massey UNO -1.2 (-3.2)
Massey Totals 146.9 (-2.9)
Bradley-Terry 69%
Weighted B-T 72%
Efficiency Plus ML UNO -1.5 (-3.5) 142.6 (+1.4) 52%
Baseline Tuned ML UNO -1.5 (-3.5) 140.3 (+3.7) 51%
Baseline ML UNO -0.6 (-2.6) 141.9 (+2.1) 49%
Baseline Plus ML UNO -0.8 (-2.8) 141.2 (+2.8) 51%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2026 UNO 9485 ETAM
Jan 6, 2026 UNO 8373 ETAM
Jan 18, 2025 UNO 8273 ETAM
Feb 10, 2024 ETAM 8983 UNO
Jan 8, 2024 UNO 8885 ETAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNO ETAM
Overall 4-27 5-26
Conference 2-18 3-17
Home 0-11 4-10
Away 3-15 1-16
Neutral 1-1 0-0
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L13 W1
Avg Pts For 67.9 64.4
Avg Pts Against 82.5 74.9
Massey -12.9 (#345) -10.9 (#332)
Bradley-Terry -2.28 (#342) -2.54 (#349)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.73 (#338) -3.05 (#347)
RPI 0.418 (#324) 0.393 (#347)
Shooting & Four Factors UNO ETAM
FG% 41.3% 41.6%
3PT% 31.2% 31.5%
REB / G 34.9 30.4
OREB / G 11.6 9.8
AST / TO 0.93 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.2% 49.3%
TOV% 18.9% 23.3%
ORB% 30.6% 28.2%
FT Rate 22.9% 17.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 19.9%
DRB% 63.4% 64.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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