Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +100 ETAM -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -1.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -0.8 (-2.8) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -1.5 (-3.5) | 142.6 (+1.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -1.5 (-3.5) | 140.3 (+3.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -0.6 (-2.6) | 141.9 (+2.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NOLA 94 – 85 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NOLA 83 – 73 ETAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NOLA 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ETAM 89 – 83 NOLA |
| Jan 8, 2024 | NOLA 88 – 85 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 3-17 |
| Home | 0-11 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-15 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L13 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#345) | -10.9 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#342) | -2.54 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#338) | -3.05 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#324) | 0.393 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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