Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CONN -360 CREI +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | CONN -8.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -7.4 (-12.4) | 147.1 (-16.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -8.4 (-13.4) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -8.1 (-13.1) | 146.3 (-15.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -6.6 (-11.6) | 146.5 (-15.5) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | CREI 91 – 84 CONN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CONN 85 – 58 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CREI 71 – 62 CONN |
| Feb 12, 2025 | CONN 70 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CREI 85 – 66 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#22) | 11.2 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#39) | 1.96 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#30) | 2.40 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#51) | 0.599 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.