Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -175 CONN +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -2.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.2 (-8.2) | 143.0 (-7.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -4.0 (-8.0) | 145.1 (-9.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -3.2 (-7.2) | 141.7 (-5.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -4.6 (-8.6) | 141.4 (-5.4) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | CREI 91 – 84 CONN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CONN 85 – 58 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CREI 71 – 62 CONN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CREI 68 – 63 CONN |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CREI 85 – 66 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#33) | 14.8 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#34) | 1.99 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#37) | 2.91 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#26) | 0.565 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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