Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +155 RGV -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +9 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -2.9 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -2.2 (+11.2) | 140.9 (-17.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -1.9 (+10.9) | 144.6 (-21.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -2.1 (+11.1) | 139.1 (-16.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -2.2 (+11.2) | 140.9 (-17.9) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | RGV 74 – 57 HCU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | RGV 68 – 51 HCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RGV 76 – 52 HCU |
| Dec 19, 2022 | RGV 100 – 90 HCU |
| Dec 11, 2022 | RGV 95 – 82 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#299) | -1.4 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#318) | -0.33 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#304) | -0.69 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#309) | 0.482 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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