Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +120 RGV -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +13 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -2.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -2.4 (-10.6) | 157.5 (+19.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -2.9 (-10.1) | 158.0 (+19.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -3.7 (-9.3) | 160.4 (+16.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -2.2 (-10.8) | 159.3 (+17.7) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | RGV 74 – 57 HCU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | RGV 68 – 51 HCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RGV 76 – 52 HCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HCU 66 – 57 RGV |
| Dec 19, 2022 | RGV 100 – 90 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -16.5 (#359) | -8.9 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.58 (#363) | 0.06 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.75 (#363) | -0.28 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#346) | 0.516 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 36.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.6% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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