Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +130 RGV -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +17 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -3.1 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -3.1 (-13.9) | 137.5 (-18.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -2.5 (-14.5) | 138.4 (-19.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -2.6 (-14.4) | 140.3 (-21.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -2.6 (-14.4) | 138.1 (-19.1) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | RGV 74 – 57 HCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RGV 76 – 52 HCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HCU 66 – 57 RGV |
| Dec 19, 2022 | RGV 100 – 90 HCU |
| Dec 11, 2022 | RGV 95 – 82 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 14-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#284) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#310) | -0.81 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#299) | -0.71 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#325) | 0.452 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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