With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
100 – 90
FINAL Neutral South Padre Island Battle on the Beach
Houston Christian Huskies
South Padre Island Convention Center (Neutral) · December 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RGV -7.5 Home covered
O/U 163.5 Over
Money RGV -300 / HCU +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total RGV win
Actual RGV +10 190 Won
Massey RGV -8.8 (+1.2) — —
Massey Totals — 165.3 (+24.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RGV -8.4 (+1.6) 160.8 (+29.2) 78% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RGV -7.3 (+2.7) 158.8 (+31.2) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RGV -8.2 (+1.8) 160.8 (+29.2) 80% ✓
Baseline ML RGV -9.0 (+1.0) 161.3 (+28.7) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2026 RGV 74 – 57 HCU
Jan 24, 2026 RGV 68 – 51 HCU
Feb 15, 2025 RGV 76 – 52 HCU
Jan 18, 2025 HCU 66 – 57 RGV
Dec 11, 2022 RGV 95 – 82 HCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RGV HCU
Overall 15-17 10-22
Conference 6-12 7-11
Home 11-6 8-8
Away 4-10 2-12
Neutral 1-1 0-2
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 75.2 74.8
Avg Pts Against 81.2 85.0
Massey -8.3 (#314) -17.1 (#360)
Bradley-Terry 0.05 (#174) -4.54 (#362)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.33 (#201) -6.47 (#362)
RPI 0.507 (#164) 0.367 (#351)
Shooting & Four Factors RGV HCU
FG% 49.2% 43.5%
3PT% 35.0% 36.4%
REB / G 35.5 29.6
OREB / G 9.5 9.8
AST / TO 0.68 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 51.1%
TOV% 25.1% 23.3%
ORB% 28.9% 27.5%
FT Rate 36.9% 16.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.2% 61.8%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 18.7%
DRB% 70.0% 65.7%
Opp FT Rate 25.6% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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