UT Rio Grande Valley
Vaqueros
100
–
90
FINAL
Neutral
South Padre Island Battle on the Beach
Houston Christian
Huskies
Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | RGV -300 HCU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +10 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -8.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -9.0 (+1.0) | 158.7 (+31.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -9.8 (+0.2) | 160.5 (+29.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -10.8 (-0.8) | 161.7 (+28.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -9.5 (+0.5) | 159.8 (+30.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | RGV 74 – 57 HCU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | RGV 68 – 51 HCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RGV 76 – 52 HCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HCU 66 – 57 RGV |
| Dec 11, 2022 | RGV 95 – 82 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#314) | -17.1 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#174) | -4.54 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#201) | -6.47 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.367 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 36.9% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 61.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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