Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MAN -130 NIA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -5.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -3.4 (+3.6) | 145.9 (-8.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -3.2 (+3.8) | 144.7 (-7.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -3.1 (+3.9) | 145.6 (-8.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -3.4 (+3.6) | 145.7 (-8.7) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MAN 76 – 69 NIA |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MAN 79 – 70 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MAN 85 – 70 NIA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MAN 84 – 78 NIA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | NIA 81 – 67 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#272) | -7.8 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#232) | -1.24 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#270) | -1.83 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#241) | 0.430 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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