Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -270 LIN +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +17 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -5.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.2 (+9.8) | 135.7 (+11.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -4.3 (+12.7) | 133.5 (+13.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -4.9 (+12.1) | 135.0 (+12.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -4.9 (+12.1) | 134.8 (+12.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIN 79 – 78 MORE |
| Jan 1, 2026 | LIN 77 – 64 MORE |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIN 73 – 65 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIN 73 – 60 MORE |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MORE 67 – 49 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#293) | -9.3 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#189) | -1.81 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#227) | -2.75 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#183) | 0.412 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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