We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -6.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money MORE -270 / LIN +220
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +17 147 Won
Massey MORE -5.4 (+11.6) — —
Massey Totals — 136.0 (+11.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -4.9 (+12.1) 134.8 (+12.2) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -7.2 (+9.8) 135.7 (+11.3) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -4.3 (+12.7) 133.5 (+13.5) 70% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -4.9 (+12.1) 135.0 (+12.0) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 LIN 79 – 78 MORE
Jan 1, 2026 LIN 77 – 64 MORE
Mar 6, 2025 LIN 73 – 65 MORE
Feb 14, 2025 LIN 73 – 60 MORE
Mar 2, 2024 MORE 67 – 49 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE LIN
Overall 15-17 16-17
Conference 10-10 10-10
Home 9-5 11-3
Away 6-10 3-12
Neutral 0-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.7 68.3
Avg Pts Against 69.8 74.2
Massey -7.6 (#293) -9.3 (#315)
Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#189) -1.81 (#317)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.82 (#227) -2.75 (#332)
RPI 0.497 (#183) 0.412 (#320)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE LIN
FG% 41.1% 41.0%
3PT% 31.6% 27.0%
REB / G 37.1 35.1
OREB / G 11.3 11.5
AST / TO 0.80 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 45.7%
TOV% 19.2% 18.9%
ORB% 31.2% 30.2%
FT Rate 25.3% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 13.8% 20.2%
DRB% 74.7% 68.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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