Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | MORE +105 LIN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +1 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -1.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -0.6 (-0.4) | 149.2 (+7.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -0.9 (-0.1) | 146.7 (+10.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.8 (-0.2) | 147.9 (+9.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.3 (-0.7) | 149.2 (+7.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | LIN 77 – 64 MORE |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIN 73 – 65 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIN 73 – 60 MORE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MORE 82 – 65 LIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MORE 67 – 49 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#298) | -4.1 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#239) | -0.70 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#271) | -1.00 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#227) | 0.481 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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