Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +125 MORE -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -0.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -0.4 (+8.4) | 133.3 (+4.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -1.2 (+9.2) | 132.5 (+5.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -0.0 (+8.0) | 131.6 (+6.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.0 (+8.0) | 132.3 (+5.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIN 79 – 78 MORE |
| Jan 1, 2026 | LIN 77 – 64 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIN 73 – 60 MORE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MORE 82 – 65 LIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MORE 67 – 49 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#327) | -10.1 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#288) | -1.21 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#326) | -2.00 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#267) | 0.474 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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