Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LIN -105 MORE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -1.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.4 (+12.6) | 133.7 (-0.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -1.0 (+14.0) | 133.0 (-0.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -0.7 (+12.3) | 131.1 (+1.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.4 (+12.6) | 132.0 (+1.0) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIN 79 – 78 MORE |
| Jan 1, 2026 | LIN 77 – 64 MORE |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIN 73 – 65 MORE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MORE 82 – 65 LIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MORE 67 – 49 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#331) | -9.2 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#316) | -0.73 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.71 (#335) | -1.55 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#308) | 0.482 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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