Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LIN -298 MORE +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -10.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -9.1 (+3.9) | 148.6 (-7.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -9.4 (+3.6) | 147.9 (-6.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -10.1 (+2.9) | 146.5 (-5.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -8.8 (+4.2) | 146.9 (-5.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIN 79 – 78 MORE |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIN 73 – 65 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIN 73 – 60 MORE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MORE 82 – 65 LIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MORE 67 – 49 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#202) | -8.9 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#172) | -1.88 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#171) | -2.70 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#170) | 0.434 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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