Rhonda had a house in Venice, lived on brown rice and cocaine. "88 Lines About 44 Women" - The Nails
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · March 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -21.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money MORE -8000 / LIN +3300
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +18 116 Won
Massey MORE -21.7 (-3.7)
Massey Totals 134.2 (-18.2)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML MORE -17.6 (+0.4) 137.9 (-21.9) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -16.3 (+1.7) 138.1 (-22.1) 91%
Baseline ML MORE -17.9 (+0.1) 139.4 (-23.4) 90%
Baseline Plus ML MORE -18.0 (-0.0) 140.1 (-24.1) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 LIN 7978 MORE
Jan 1, 2026 LIN 7764 MORE
Mar 6, 2025 LIN 7365 MORE
Feb 14, 2025 LIN 7360 MORE
Jan 18, 2025 MORE 8265 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE LIN
Overall 26-9 9-22
Conference 14-4 3-15
Home 14-1 4-10
Away 9-7 3-12
Neutral 3-1 2-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.3 63.4
Avg Pts Against 66.3 74.9
Massey 2.5 (#131) -15.8 (#355)
Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#126) -2.57 (#351)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.70 (#122) -3.22 (#348)
RPI 0.557 (#80) 0.377 (#355)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE LIN
FG% 46.3% 38.9%
3PT% 34.5% 29.2%
REB / G 36.3 31.2
OREB / G 10.2 8.7
AST / TO 1.07 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 43.4%
TOV% 19.1% 17.6%
ORB% 32.4% 23.9%
FT Rate 23.0% 28.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 17.8%
DRB% 73.1% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 29.6%

Game Analysis

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