I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · March 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -21.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money MORE -8000 / LIN +3300
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +18 116 Won
Massey MORE -21.7 (-3.7) — —
Massey Totals — 134.2 (-18.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -18.0 (-0.0) 140.1 (-24.1) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -17.6 (+0.4) 137.9 (-21.9) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -16.3 (+1.7) 138.1 (-22.1) 91% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -17.9 (+0.1) 139.4 (-23.4) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 LIN 79 – 78 MORE
Jan 1, 2026 LIN 77 – 64 MORE
Mar 6, 2025 LIN 73 – 65 MORE
Feb 14, 2025 LIN 73 – 60 MORE
Jan 18, 2025 MORE 82 – 65 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE LIN
Overall 26-9 9-22
Conference 14-4 3-15
Home 14-1 4-10
Away 9-7 3-12
Neutral 3-1 2-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.3 63.4
Avg Pts Against 66.3 74.9
Massey 2.5 (#131) -15.8 (#355)
Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#126) -2.57 (#351)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.70 (#122) -3.22 (#348)
RPI 0.557 (#80) 0.377 (#355)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE LIN
FG% 46.3% 38.9%
3PT% 34.5% 29.2%
REB / G 36.3 31.2
OREB / G 10.2 8.7
AST / TO 1.07 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 43.4%
TOV% 19.1% 17.6%
ORB% 32.4% 23.9%
FT Rate 23.0% 28.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 17.8%
DRB% 73.1% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 29.6%

Game Analysis

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