Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +340 CMU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -10.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -9.3 (+4.3) | 139.2 (-2.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -9.6 (+4.6) | 138.6 (-1.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -10.3 (+5.3) | 138.1 (-1.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -10.3 (+5.3) | 137.5 (-0.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CMU 88 – 46 NIU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | NIU 74 – 73 CMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | NIU 83 – 81 CMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | CMU 69 – 63 NIU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | CMU 84 – 77 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-15 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -17.5 (#360) | -2.8 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#347) | -0.59 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#344) | -0.64 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#345) | 0.500 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 18.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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