Betting Lines
| Spread | NIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NIU -135 CMU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | NIU -6.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -4.9 (-3.9) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -3.3 (-2.3) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -5.1 (-4.1) | 143.2 (+3.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -4.7 (-3.7) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CMU 88 – 46 NIU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | NIU 83 – 81 CMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CMU 71 – 66 NIU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | CMU 69 – 63 NIU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | CMU 84 – 77 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#311) | -11.9 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#290) | -1.94 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#289) | -2.61 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#283) | 0.415 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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