Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Horizon League · Resch Center · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money GB +210 / RMU -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual RMU +22 156 Lost
Massey RMU -2.9 (-19.1)
Massey Totals 153.0 (+3.0)
Bradley-Terry 18%
Weighted B-T 21%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -3.4 (-18.6) 145.4 (+10.6) 33%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -4.2 (-17.8) 145.3 (+10.7) 30%
Baseline ML RMU -4.2 (-17.8) 145.6 (+10.4) 32%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -5.8 (-16.2) 145.3 (+10.7) 27%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 GB 7167 RMU
Dec 5, 2025 RMU 8078 GB
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 9485 GB
Feb 9, 2024 GB 8176 RMU
Dec 31, 2023 GB 7861 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB RMU
Overall 4-28 26-9
Conference 2-18 15-5
Home 3-11 16-2
Away 1-17 8-6
Neutral 0-0 2-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 76.9
Avg Pts Against 80.6 71.6
Massey -10.4 (#325) -3.8 (#225)
Bradley-Terry -2.26 (#334) -0.08 (#184)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.45 (#320) -0.30 (#196)
RPI 0.400 (#334) 0.486 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors GB RMU
FG% 44.3% 41.4%
3PT% 32.9% 29.5%
REB / G 28.2 38.3
OREB / G 4.9 12.8
AST / TO 0.97 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 46.8%
TOV% 19.5% 19.1%
ORB% 15.8% 33.6%
FT Rate 25.2% 29.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 18.9%
DRB% 66.6% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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