And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Horizon League · Resch Center · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money GB +210 / RMU -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual RMU +22 156 Lost
Massey RMU -2.9 (-19.1) — —
Massey Totals — 153.0 (+3.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 18% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 21% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -5.8 (-16.2) 145.3 (+10.7) 27% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -3.4 (-18.6) 145.4 (+10.6) 33% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -4.2 (-17.8) 145.3 (+10.7) 30% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -4.2 (-17.8) 145.6 (+10.4) 32% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 GB 71 – 67 RMU
Dec 5, 2025 RMU 80 – 78 GB
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 94 – 85 GB
Feb 9, 2024 GB 81 – 76 RMU
Dec 31, 2023 GB 78 – 61 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB RMU
Overall 4-28 26-9
Conference 2-18 15-5
Home 3-11 16-2
Away 1-17 8-6
Neutral 0-0 2-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 76.9
Avg Pts Against 80.6 71.6
Massey -10.4 (#325) -3.8 (#225)
Bradley-Terry -2.26 (#334) -0.08 (#184)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.45 (#320) -0.30 (#196)
RPI 0.400 (#334) 0.486 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors GB RMU
FG% 44.3% 41.4%
3PT% 32.9% 29.5%
REB / G 28.2 38.3
OREB / G 4.9 12.8
AST / TO 0.97 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 46.8%
TOV% 19.5% 19.1%
ORB% 15.8% 33.6%
FT Rate 25.2% 29.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 18.9%
DRB% 66.6% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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