This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money RMU -163 / GB +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual GB +5 157 Lost
Massey GB -0.2 (-4.8)
Massey Totals 140.4 (+16.6)
Bradley-Terry 28%
Weighted B-T 23%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -0.9 (-5.9) 139.2 (+17.8) 59%
Baseline Tuned ML GB -1.6 (-3.4) 140.8 (+16.2) 44%
Baseline ML GB -1.4 (-3.6) 142.2 (+14.8) 45%
Baseline Plus ML GB -1.9 (-3.1) 137.0 (+20.0) 43%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 GB 7167 RMU
Dec 5, 2025 RMU 8078 GB
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 9485 GB
Jan 18, 2025 RMU 8967 GB
Dec 31, 2023 GB 7861 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU GB
Overall 10-22 18-14
Conference 6-14 13-7
Home 7-9 10-5
Away 3-13 8-8
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L7 L2
Avg Pts For 72.2 68.6
Avg Pts Against 77.4 70.2
Massey -5.5 (#272) -1.9 (#194)
Bradley-Terry -1.59 (#312) -0.05 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.07 (#316) -0.20 (#182)
RPI 0.446 (#276) 0.508 (#159)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU GB
FG% 44.2% 45.3%
3PT% 33.4% 35.2%
REB / G 34.6 32.8
OREB / G 12.8 8.4
AST / TO 0.95 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 53.9%
TOV% 20.0% 19.5%
ORB% 35.7% 27.4%
FT Rate 21.8% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 14.6%
DRB% 70.9% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 26.4% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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